Re: [arch-d] Comments on draft-lazanski-consolidation

Christian Huitema <huitema@huitema.net> Fri, 13 November 2020 05:15 UTC

Return-Path: <huitema@huitema.net>
X-Original-To: architecture-discuss@ietfa.amsl.com
Delivered-To: architecture-discuss@ietfa.amsl.com
Received: from localhost (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by ietfa.amsl.com (Postfix) with ESMTP id 6D51D3A13F8 for <architecture-discuss@ietfa.amsl.com>; Thu, 12 Nov 2020 21:15:18 -0800 (PST)
X-Virus-Scanned: amavisd-new at amsl.com
X-Spam-Flag: NO
X-Spam-Score: 0.075
X-Spam-Level:
X-Spam-Status: No, score=0.075 tagged_above=-999 required=5 tests=[BAYES_00=-1.9, NICE_REPLY_A=-0.001, SPF_HELO_NONE=0.001, T_SPF_PERMERROR=0.01, URIBL_BLOCKED=0.001, URI_DOTEDU=1.964] autolearn=no autolearn_force=no
Received: from mail.ietf.org ([4.31.198.44]) by localhost (ietfa.amsl.com [127.0.0.1]) (amavisd-new, port 10024) with ESMTP id eurVRtX6zDLI for <architecture-discuss@ietfa.amsl.com>; Thu, 12 Nov 2020 21:15:17 -0800 (PST)
Received: from mx43-out1.antispamcloud.com (mx43-out1.antispamcloud.com [138.201.61.189]) (using TLSv1.2 with cipher ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 (256/256 bits)) (No client certificate requested) by ietfa.amsl.com (Postfix) with ESMTPS id D55F53A13D0 for <architecture-discuss@ietf.org>; Thu, 12 Nov 2020 21:15:16 -0800 (PST)
Received: from xse206.mail2web.com ([66.113.196.206] helo=xse.mail2web.com) by mx169.antispamcloud.com with esmtp (Exim 4.92) (envelope-from <huitema@huitema.net>) id 1kdRQK-000sRo-Pn for architecture-discuss@ietf.org; Fri, 13 Nov 2020 06:15:12 +0100
Received: from xsmtp22.mail2web.com (unknown [10.100.68.61]) by xse.mail2web.com (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 4CXRVQ5kY1zBs8 for <architecture-discuss@ietf.org>; Thu, 12 Nov 2020 21:14:54 -0800 (PST)
Received: from [10.5.2.18] (helo=xmail08.myhosting.com) by xsmtp22.mail2web.com with esmtps (TLS1.0:DHE_RSA_AES_256_CBC_SHA1:256) (Exim 4.92) (envelope-from <huitema@huitema.net>) id 1kdRQE-0005Tn-MW for architecture-discuss@ietf.org; Thu, 12 Nov 2020 21:14:54 -0800
Received: (qmail 721 invoked from network); 13 Nov 2020 05:22:09 -0000
Received: from unknown (HELO [192.168.1.103]) (Authenticated-user:_huitema@huitema.net@[172.58.43.90]) (envelope-sender <huitema@huitema.net>) by xmail08.myhosting.com (qmail-ldap-1.03) with ESMTPA for <architecture-discuss@ietf.org>; 13 Nov 2020 05:22:09 -0000
To: Watson Ladd <watsonbladd@gmail.com>, architecture-discuss@ietf.org
References: <CACsn0c=pS5+7a+M-f3RkhYsgriEYj_-a4--V+2gAnkMNHdFoqA@mail.gmail.com>
From: Christian Huitema <huitema@huitema.net>
Autocrypt: addr=huitema@huitema.net; prefer-encrypt=mutual; keydata= mDMEXtavGxYJKwYBBAHaRw8BAQdA1ou9A5MHTP9N3jfsWzlDZ+jPnQkusmc7sfLmWVz1Rmu0 J0NocmlzdGlhbiBIdWl0ZW1hIDxodWl0ZW1hQGh1aXRlbWEubmV0PoiWBBMWCAA+FiEEw3G4 Nwi4QEpAAXUUELAmqKBYtJQFAl7WrxsCGwMFCQlmAYAFCwkIBwIGFQoJCAsCBBYCAwECHgEC F4AACgkQELAmqKBYtJQbMwD/ebj/qnSbthC/5kD5DxZ/Ip0CGJw5QBz/+fJp3R8iAlsBAMjK r2tmyWyJz0CUkVG24WaR5EAJDvgwDv8h22U6QVkAuDgEXtavGxIKKwYBBAGXVQEFAQEHQJoM 6MUAIqpoqdCIiACiEynZf7nlJg2Eu0pXIhbUGONdAwEIB4h+BBgWCAAmFiEEw3G4Nwi4QEpA AXUUELAmqKBYtJQFAl7WrxsCGwwFCQlmAYAACgkQELAmqKBYtJRm2wD7BzeK5gEXSmBcBf0j BYdSaJcXNzx4yPLbP4GnUMAyl2cBAJzcsR4RkwO4dCRqM9CHpVJCwHtbUDJaa55//E0kp+gH
Message-ID: <2ac94238-6b6d-ed04-f4f0-b8dcea496288@huitema.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Nov 2020 21:14:57 -0800
User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; WOW64; rv:68.0) Gecko/20100101 Thunderbird/68.12.1
MIME-Version: 1.0
In-Reply-To: <CACsn0c=pS5+7a+M-f3RkhYsgriEYj_-a4--V+2gAnkMNHdFoqA@mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Content-Language: en-US
X-Originating-IP: 66.113.196.206
X-Spampanel-Domain: xsmtpout.mail2web.com
X-Spampanel-Username: 66.113.196.206/32
Authentication-Results: antispamcloud.com; auth=pass smtp.auth=66.113.196.206/32@xsmtpout.mail2web.com
X-Spampanel-Outgoing-Class: unsure
X-Spampanel-Outgoing-Evidence: Combined (0.15)
X-Recommended-Action: accept
X-Filter-ID: Mvzo4OR0dZXEDF/gcnlw0cThwnZT+ODcFyeCwCHoUjupSDasLI4SayDByyq9LIhVUZbR67CQ7/vm /hHDJU4RXkTNWdUk1Ol2OGx3IfrIJKywOmJyM1qr8uRnWBrbSAGDsYLBcJLyHnVrULITPs15U6ts NHuRxlWqWR9fNqLY1ai4Dcwf+CZK8NXgy3In+fX7TmcuUvjRN+0J6Ac4ZemBWVO05s+oip5EC/YK rMQ9+O9t+TYaqvvx766D6vBkj4PutP0Dzal8myJ8vVhoWnSKP9Tn5/AwQYA8p32I/LmTkdq8pnvZ XWSe7jV34Pxn0vH1Lz/y+awqhw7CmTPsWtYsCV/oEQh3zFZ7AJOfdc5NLopVCPmS+MVojfDUugvn Zl+jhHQOLtWk4clq0P6Ltvr/5Zl+BJt+8hYKwgejR0Z9YPn97p3CKmEi95YYeXPNWMiahaC2TJpF rGrq1WX76kTmg5w7R2/M+XaT5BLifEp8KpWu41J1t4cteGI4vH6PuMQp0kaOEXLuWd+6zLg4wp8u XxPcpGyeyPXKNTABBN67jV7JvFCbAD7w3FUirQwmJIqD2OUMeHyTpNN0eXybX/w7/3ZCM0u5uBlK VwmNWN494pUPBFtmg5GCGtjOaQC74kK2uZ9agFNFUxUZLPnr1LybeLQspoubd/Ea7HJk6sEwzYfL KUAGCjo0ibbuluTUoptOJ3Sw6H7d4EM0mJJ2ptqe0QtIz5SxsZxNzFkRa796RwWszYy73JZxs5Uw vGYJEd5WiFqrwMYgR7iLksuXwgJRJAY7oJjCTpsxJStfPIpup0dQAlTt7ce/LtGxuyH9kwlU4PtO b0y7gJ0A+SI1rGECao0wRpEZY7BrMzhNrDLnNRY580lwoSlpP4rXG4nCbCD3f3rei+cQaPCcHayj qxy2IX6m+UeFXprlCOm3BAEbJtA3uj2mTuvyU6BMseLZnOTpY5D0qT1wFY5dqDK/GtcZtMH11BTI 0x9g8g/IuZDuW2ZWBb39uS1TjWG2Inx+Ts2QsCIA/8Q3oXmtPTqZ8ErqG2a6xhMTEe3k2wYzBgyi N4o4YSZ+zLr/zR15dKPvvN8D
X-Report-Abuse-To: spam@quarantine11.antispamcloud.com
Archived-At: <https://mailarchive.ietf.org/arch/msg/architecture-discuss/d837quikXaCrr_O2WGcmb3Tbb2k>
Subject: Re: [arch-d] Comments on draft-lazanski-consolidation
X-BeenThere: architecture-discuss@ietf.org
X-Mailman-Version: 2.1.29
Precedence: list
List-Id: open discussion forum for long/wide-range architectural issues <architecture-discuss.ietf.org>
List-Unsubscribe: <https://www.ietf.org/mailman/options/architecture-discuss>, <mailto:architecture-discuss-request@ietf.org?subject=unsubscribe>
List-Archive: <https://mailarchive.ietf.org/arch/browse/architecture-discuss/>
List-Post: <mailto:architecture-discuss@ietf.org>
List-Help: <mailto:architecture-discuss-request@ietf.org?subject=help>
List-Subscribe: <https://www.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/architecture-discuss>, <mailto:architecture-discuss-request@ietf.org?subject=subscribe>
X-List-Received-Date: Fri, 13 Nov 2020 05:15:18 -0000

On 11/12/2020 7:00 PM, Watson Ladd wrote:

> ECH is I think probably the draft's strongest argument. Any sort of
> anonymity service benefits from having more usage, so them that has,
> gets. This is why e.g. Tor is prefered over less popular solutions.
> It's worth considering these incentives but I think that there is, and
> always has been, a variety of shared hosting options. There are some
> very real technical difficulties here, and I think all of us would
> welcome well thought out proposals. But doing nothing about SNI
> leakage is not an option.


Watson's point is confirmed by market analysis. There is significant
competition in the CDN market -- the ascension of Fastly from 'small
startup" to "significant player" shows that. In fact, there is also
competition in the "cloud hosting" market -- AWS and Azure are big, but
there is a variety of other players, from Google Cloud to IBM, Oracle,
Linode, Digital Ocean and many others. I did an analysis of that here:
https://huitema.wordpress.com/2020/08/09/can-internet-services-hide-in-crowds/,
but there is better data available here:
https://www3.cs.stonybrook.edu/~mikepo/papers/esni.asiaccs20.pdf.

As for ECH, the analysis shows that most of these "top million" sites
are running on dedicated IP addresses, even when serviced by VPNs. Yes,
ECH requires "shared address" hosting to work, but no, there is no
evidence that big services are leveraging shared address provisioning to
grab market share.

-- Christian Huitema