Re: IAOC requesting input on (potential) meeting cities

Christer Holmberg <christer.holmberg@ericsson.com> Wed, 05 April 2017 08:11 UTC

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From: Christer Holmberg <christer.holmberg@ericsson.com>
To: Carsten Bormann <cabo@tzi.org>, mike stJohns <mstjohns@comcast.net>
CC: IETF <ietf@ietf.org>
Subject: Re: IAOC requesting input on (potential) meeting cities
Thread-Topic: IAOC requesting input on (potential) meeting cities
Thread-Index: AQHSrW9jSzJb0/d0MEKmqC/w6m/JqaG1ajkAgAApzQCAAB+4AIAAco+AgABY/gA=
Date: Wed, 5 Apr 2017 08:11:06 +0000
Message-ID: <D50A7FA0.1A840%christer.holmberg@ericsson.com>
References: <149096990336.4276.3480662759931758139.idtracker@ietfa.amsl.com> <9fee9874-1306-07a2-a84a-4e09381a5336@cisco.com> <E67FDB14-9895-48E0-A334-167172D322DB@nohats.ca> <20170403152624.GA11714@gsp.org> <93404c29-78ba-ff9b-9170-f5f2a5389a31@gmail.com> <E068F01A-B720-4E7A-A60F-AA5BDA22D535@consulintel.es> <20170404181505.GA4004@localhost> <CAAQiQRcvu-BfBA_NEqZwXsHEn6ujpa2=w7P5Vu2f6GLXjKqkcA@mail.gmail.com> <5DDF7585-8722-4C21-B998-CFD06A44EFE2@tzi.org> <7B3FF839-022B-4D58-96F9-1DEDEE0DA3C5@comcast.net> <162603E4-DE07-495B-B3A6-9F58D03D8DF8@tzi.org>
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Chicago is a big city, and the murder rate varies widely between different
areas. So, if you do your maths based on the numbers in the areas where
IETFers are likely to move around, and the kind of activities IETFers are
likely to participate in (much of the violence is related to
gang/drug-related activities), I¹m sure the result is going to be even
smallerŠ 





On 05/04/17 08:56, "ietf on behalf of Carsten Bormann"
<ietf-bounces@ietf.org on behalf of cabo@tzi.org> wrote:

>On Apr 5, 2017, at 01:06, mike stJohns <mstjohns@comcast.net> wrote:
>> 
>> .005 deaths per week per 1000
>
>Right, the 270 micromorts per year (~ 5 micromorts per week) you cited
>would lead to a ~ 0.5 % chance of anyone of the ~ 1000 IETFers getting
>killed ‹ a factor three less than the 1.5 % that my numbers result in,
>but not off by a large factor.
>(Still, I wonder where that factor three comes from.)
>
>Luckily, we hit the other 98.5 % this week.
>
>(I¹m not that worried by the ~ 15 micromorts of risk I personally was
>subjected to, given that I spent on the order of 250 microlives for the
>time that went into this meeting.
>But my wife, who had been planning our wonderful vacation in Colombia
>earlier this year, definitely was.)
>
>Grüße, Carsten
>