Re: List of volunteers for the 2021-2022 NomCom

[Michael StJohns <[e-mail]>]

Hi - No challenges, but an observation or two.

There are only 6 companies with more than two volunteers:

Cisco - 7  (6.3% of the pool, 47% chance of having at least one member, 
12.6% of having 2).
Juniper - 9 (8% of the pool, 57% chance of having at least one member, 
18.9% of having 2)
Ericsson - 4 (3.6%, 30.5%, 4.7%)
ZTE - 3 (2.7%, 23.8%, 2.8%)
Akamai - 3 (2.7%, 23.8%, 2.8%)
Huawei/Futurewei - 41 (36.6, 99%, 93%)

A SWAG against that numbers suggests a Nomcom with 2 members from 
Huawai/Futurewei, 1-2 members from Cisco and Juniper (not each, total) 
and a 60% chance of having at least 1 member from one of Ericsson, 
Akamai or ZTE.

2 person companies represent (each) 1.8% of the pool, have a 16.5% 
chance of having at least one member,  and have a 1.3% chance of having 
two.

The numbers are not exact because of the organizational limit factor - 
e.g. individuals and 2 party companies (totalling 112-67 or 45)  are 
roughly competing for the slots (4-6 slots at a guess) not won by these 
5, which gives those folk individually a 8.3% to 11.9% chance of 
selection depending on the number of slots available.

For an illustration of what affect the organizational limits have on the 
final composition of the Nomcom,  without the limits, or with higher 
ones, Huawei/Futurewei would have a 77% chance of 3 or more members, a  
53% chance of 4 or more members and a 28.5% chance of 5 or more.   That 
suggests that due to the limits, in this selection process at least 2 or 
more volunteers will be selected randomly and discarded due to there 
already being 2 selectees from that group.

Yours statistically, Mike



On 6/25/2021 4:46 PM, NomCom Chair 2021 wrote:
> This is a preliminary list of 112 qualified volunteers for NomCom 2021-2022.
>
> All have been qualified by using the Datatracker as qualified for the position of voting
> member of NomCom per RFC 8989.
>
> We now enter the challenge period, which lasts until the following deadline:
>
> Monday, July 5, 2021 at 23:59 UTC (Deadline for raising issues on the qualified volunteers list)
>
> If anyone thinks that a name on the numbered list below is NOT qualified for some
> reason, please send me email before this deadline at:
>
> nomcom-chair-2021 at ietf dot org
>
> The next steps are listed on https://datatracker.ietf.org/nomcom/2021/ (e.g., I will announce
> random seed selections for the RFC 3797 process shortly).
>
> The preliminary qualified volunteers are:
>
>    Num    Last Name        First Name                   Affiliation
> ===================================================================
>      1    Aelmans          Melchior                     Juniper Networks
>      2    Bagdonas         Ignas                        Equinix
>      3    Banks            Sarah                        Corelight, Inc.
>      4    Barnes           Mary                         Independent
>      5    Beeram           Vishnu                       Juniper Networks
>      6    Benamar          Nabil                        Moulay Ismail University of Meknes, Morocco
>      7    Bertola          Vittorio                     Open-Xchange
>      8    Bishop           Mike                         Akamai Technologies
>      9    Bonica           Ron                          Juniper Networks
>     10    Box              Chris                        BT
>     11    Burdet           LucAndré                     Cisco
>     12    Bush             Randy                        IIJ Research Lab & Arrcus Inc
>     13    Busi             Italo                        Huawei
>     14    Chen             Mach                         Huawei
>     15    Chen             Huaimo                       Futurewei
>     16    Cheng            Weiqiang                     China Mobile
>     17    Ciavaglia        Laurent                      Rakuten
>     18    Clemm            Alexander                    Futurewei
>     19    Dhody            Dhruv                        Huawei
>     20    Dong             Jie                          Huawei Technologies
>     21    Drake            John                         Juniper Networks
>     22    Eastlake         Donald                       Futurewei Technologies, Inc
>     23    Eckel            Charles                      Cisco Systems
>     24    Eckert           Toerless                     Futurewei USA
>     25    Enghardt         Theresa                      Netflix
>     26    Fan              Dawei                        Huawei
>     27    Farrell          Stephen                      Trinity College Dublin
>     28    Fioccola         Giuseppe                     Huawei Technologies
>     29    Fomin            Sergey                       Nokia
>     30    Fossati          Thomas                       Arm
>     31    Geng             Xuesong                      Huawei
>     32    Gondwana         Bron                         Fastmail Pty Ltd
>     33    Gu               Yunan                        Huawei
>     34    Gundavelli       Sri                          Cisco
>     35    Haas             Jeffrey                      Juniper Networks
>     36    Haddad           Wassim                       Ericsson
>     37    Hallam-Baker     Phillip                      Threshold Secrets LLC
>     38    Harrison         Tom                          APNIC
>     39    Hegde            Shraddha                     Juniper Networks
>     40    Heitz            Jakob                        Cisco Systems, Inc.
>     41    Hopps            Christian                    LabN Consulting
>     42    Housley          Russ                         Vigil Security, LLC
>     43    Huitema          Christian                    Private Octopus Inc.
>     44    Iannone          Luigi                        Huawei
>     45    Jimenez          Jaime                        Ericsson
>     46    Lear             Eliot                        Cisco Systems
>     47    Leiba            Barry                        Futurewei Technologies
>     48    Lemon            Ted                          Apple
>     49    Li               Cheng                        Huawei
>     50    Li               Richard                      Futurewei Technologies, Inc.
>     51    Li               Yizhou                       Huawei
>     52    Lin              Yi                           Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
>     53    Liu              Bing                         Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
>     54    Lou              Zhe                          Huawei Technologies Duesseldorf GmbH
>     55    Maisonneuve      Julien                       Nokia
>     56    Makhijani        Kiran                        Futurewei
>     57    Mankin           Allison                      Salesforce
>     58    Masinter         Larry                        Interlisp.org
>     59    Mattsson         John                         Ericsson
>     60    McManus          Patrick                      Fastly
>     61    Michaelson       George                       APNIC
>     62    Min              Xiao                         ZTE Corporation
>     63    Mishra           Sanjay                       Verizon
>     64    Mizrahi          Tal                          Huawei
>     65    Moore            Keith                        Network Heretics
>     66    Nottingham       Mark                         Fastly
>     67    Paine            Kirsty                       UK National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC)
>     68    Pan              Wei                          Huawei
>     69    Peng             Shuping                      Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
>     70    Petit-Huguenin   Marc                         Impedance Mismatch LLC
>     71    Pillay-Esnault   Padma                        Independent, Amazon
>     72    Qu               Yingzhen                     Futurewei Technologies Inc.
>     73    Reid             Jim                          rtfm llp
>     74    Rescorla         Eric                         Mozilla
>     75    Resnick          Pete                         Episteme Technology Consulting LLC
>     76    Richardson       Michael                      Sandelman Software Works
>     77    Romano           Simon                        University of Napoli Federico II
>     78    Rose             Kyle                         Akamai Technologies, Inc.
>     79    Saad             Tarek                        Juniper Networks
>     80    Salz             Rich                         Akamai
>     81    Sangli           Srihari                      Juniper Networks
>     82    Schwartz         Benjamin                     Google LLC
>     83    Song             Haoyu                        Futurewei
>     84    StJohns          Michael                      NthPermutation Security
>     85    Thubert          Pascal                       Cisco Systems
>     86    Trøan            Ole                          cisco
>     87    Tschofenig       Hannes                       Arm
>     88    Velvindron       Loganaden                    cyberstorm.mu
>     89    Volpato          Paolo                        Huawei Technologies
>     90    Wang             Haibo                        Huawei
>     91    Wang             Yali                         Huawei
>     92    Wei              Yuehua                       ZTE Corporation
>     93    Weiler           Samuel                       W3C/MIT
>     94    Westerlund       Magnus                       Ericsson
>     95    Winters          Timothy                      QA Cafe
>     96    Woolf            Suzanne                      Public Interest Registry (.ORG)
>     97    Wu               Bo                           Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
>     98    Xiao             XiPeng                       Huawei Technologies
>     99    Xie              Jingrong                     Huawei Technologies
>     100   Xingjian         He                           huawei
>     101   Yan              Gang                         Huawei
>     102   Yang             Fan                          Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
>     103   Yu               Yolanda                      Huawei
>     104   Zhang            Lixia                        UCLA
>     105   Zhang            Zheng                        ZTE
>     106   Zhang            Zhaohui                      Juniper
>     107   Zhao             Shuai                        Tencent
>     108   Zheng            Guangying                    Huawei
>     109   Zheng            Haomian                      Huawei Technologies
>     110   Zhou             Tianran                      Huawei
>     111   Zhuang           Shunwan                      Huawei
>     112   江元龙                                         Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
>