Re: [VCARDDAV] Signed vCards

DataPacRat <datapacrat@gmail.com> Sun, 01 September 2013 21:45 UTC

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References: <CAB5WduA09GVZ7j2q4e9aM-CYBj27_deKT=VHhVL0+gzG1yRq0A@mail.gmail.com> <CAD6ztsqqQwbN_-yv9+-tHuh8X1MfBRKEqF6ugH=0avHTuKxzWA@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduCO7mNPAqgqYWXmceog3wVNox5reUAjsCQRUXRQB0Wftw@mail.gmail.com> <51D18BC4.5030300@cisco.com> <CAB5WduAJSiqEjsw+DUo4Emy-Tw30nTw1WA2MshxJAfHN1sh0WA@mail.gmail.com> <51D1A52C.6000806@viagenie.ca> <CAB5WduDEe+tC21L6AbW0HRzTf5Z6L0oCA+M4X8_p1ERK0rFPtA@mail.gmail.com> <51D570F4.1020204@cisco.com> <CAB5WduC9OQDknwZj5PHQ0t8Y4V1vtpafeJuZXsnhrWKSmDfwFQ@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduC-m-TH9a1WrFY6QX8cQ2bJ8EgOD8+swEwpVxM7my42UA@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduBgpkQO+-4iNDspxR7X7JKeFU3UfjfiPd7qWWr7QRY3ew@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduCG356V5bHH8-7PYUtF3VqW5VRM-e=N0h7rbAJN51sSuA@mail.gmail.com> <51E42D85.4060806@viagenie.ca> <CAB5WduBJEXSsV5T-1MA+05wkQ6CZs8PySwUaQaAHew0E7dErbQ@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduBHej1O95X5UrFMkVJ1CQRdLzLOUjCF1AT6uz+-DTN4Ww@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduDQ6mHgSoWpX3JghF3CAMn8F0hV+y4zSTWc+Gi8EtY8UA@mail.gmail.com> <CAJNb_g1A64NWkpBqZsKsoLShB41Gqq3q21QnvDEdhENUYSi3XA@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduB4NMfLi_iYaTzivHWnV98rQbHMVWU4PEs6uO03uhJucA@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduAMy+UTrhKT6+dBh86iSCgcOtBEmkYctCUOzCOwxEo13w@mail.gmail.com> <CAJNb_g3trtyUjWikmTVBPoeVwzexL-DLx4=kfaWczuv6zGA-Lw@mail.gmail.com> <EE5149CF64A654342B9D06A8@cyrus.local> <CAJNb_g2wA_=YZu6hscNpRo_1QD9D+cbPX6BzgJrymLsTsK5F2Q@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduCYfFr3o4FQ86h3nj1dyb0fNSMwrBUjRHKrNLY8UDy-gA@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduA_T4T+y6Gzt938NtR7+sCgDuEmz2cK3RXke-25EAN2pg@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduCpdi5Q3p6Pv3C-YfSHXkS0ziAP9Jc9BKKKTRHCOz=fnw@mail.gmail.com> <CAB5WduD5bf8UXf+zTC-Z+Wt0NWaoKU3sVWpmjA-xHdDuKxRCPg@mail.gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 01 Sep 2013 17:45:01 -0400
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From: DataPacRat <datapacrat@gmail.com>
To: Michael Angstadt <mike.angstadt@gmail.com>, Simon Perreault <simon.perreault@viagenie.ca>
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Cc: "vcarddav@ietf.org" <vcarddav@ietf.org>
Subject: Re: [VCARDDAV] Signed vCards
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Another set of details I'm considering adding is more extensive
information on deciban values. I keep a textfile with a table
describing them handy for my own reference; would it be worthwhile to
include some or all of this in the description of the CONFIDENCE
parameter?


Decibans / Level of belief / Rough Odds / notes

-127 / 0.00000000002% / 1:5 trillion / min belief storable in one signed byte

-30 / 0.1% / 1:1,000 /
-20 / 1.0% / 1:100 /

-10 / 9.9% / 1:10 /
-9 / 11.2% / 1:8 /
-8 / 13.7% / 1:6 /
-7 / 16.7% / 1:5 /
-6 / 20.0% / 1:4 /
-5 / 24.0% / 1:3 /
-4 / 28.5% / 2:5 / a reasonable doubt
-3 / 33.3% / 1:2 /
-2 / 38.7% / 2:3 / probable cause
-1 / 44.3% / 4:5 /
0 / 50.0% / 1:1 / neither belief nor disbelief; agnosticism, 1 bit
1 / 55.7% / 5:4, 1.25:1 /
2 / 61.3% / 3:2, 1.5:1 /
3 / 66.6% / 2:1 / clear and convincing evidence
4 / 71.5% / 5:2, 2.5:1 /
5 / 76.0% / 3:1 / beyond a reasonable doubt, 1 standard deviation, 2 bits
6 / 80.0% / 4:1 /
7 / 83.3% / 5:1 /
8 / 86.3% / 6:1 /
9 / 88.8% / 8:1 / 3 bits
10 / 90.9% / 10:1 / one nine
11 / 92.6% / 25:2, 12.5:1 /
12 / 92.5% / 15:1 / 4 bits
13 / 95.2% / 20:1 / lone studies with p=0.05, 2 standard deviations
14 / 96.2% / 25:1 /
15 / 96.8% / 30:1 / 5 bits
16 / 97.6% / 40:1 /
17 / 98.0% / 50:1 /
18 / 98.4% / 60:1 / 6 bits
19 / 98.8% / 80:1 /
20 / 99.0% / 100:1 / two nines, lone studies with p=0.01

21 / 99.26% / 125:1 / 7 bits
24 / 99.62% / 250:1 / 8 bits
26 / 99.7% / 400:1 / confirmed studies with p=0.05, 3 standard deviations
27 / 99.80% / 500:1 / 9 bits
30 / 99.9% / 1,000:1 / three nines, 10 bits
40 / 99.99% / 10,000:1 / four nines, confirmed studies with p=0.01
42 / 99.993% / 16,000:1 / 4 standard deviations, 14 bits
45 / 99.9968% / 30,000:1 / 15 bits
50 / 99.999% / 100,000:1 / five nines
60 / 99.9999% / 1 million:1 / six nines, 20 bits
62 / 99.99994% / 1.5 million:1 / 5 standard deviations
70 / 99.99999% / 10 million:1 / seven nines
80 / 99.999999% / 100 million:1 / eight nines
87 / 99.9999998% / 500 million:1 / 6 standard deviations, 29 bits
90 / 99.9999999% / 1 billion:1 / nine nines, 30 bits
99 / 99.99999998% / 8 billion:1 / 33 bits
100 / 99.99999999% / 10 billion:1 / ten nines
110 / 99.999999999% / 100 billion:1 / eleven nines
116 / 99.9999999997% / 400 billion:1 / 7 standard deviations
120 / 99.9999999999% / 1 trillion:1 / twelve nines, 40 bits
127 / 99.99999999998% / 5 trillion:1 / max belief storable in one signed byte

1,000 / 99.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999%
/ 10^100:1 /






Thank you for your time,
--
DataPacRat
"Then again, I could be wrong."