Re: [RADIR] Last Call on problem statement -01

Jason Schiller <schiller@uu.net> Tue, 25 September 2007 17:46 UTC

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Date: Tue, 25 Sep 2007 13:44:05 -0400
From: Jason Schiller <schiller@uu.net>
Subject: Re: [RADIR] Last Call on problem statement -01
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Thomas I think that is fine.

__Jason


==========================================================================
Jason Schiller                                               (703)886.6648
Senior Internet Network Engineer                         fax:(703)886.0512
Public IP Global Network Engineering                       schiller@uu.net
UUNET / Verizon                         jason.schiller@verizonbusiness.com

The good news about having an email address that is twice as long is that
it increases traffic on the Internet.

On Tue, 25 Sep 2007, Thomas Narten wrote:

> Date: Tue, 25 Sep 2007 09:40:36 -0400
> From: Thomas Narten <narten@us.ibm.com>
> To: radir@ietf.org
> Subject: [RADIR] Last Call on problem statement -01
> 
> Here is the current version of the problem statement.
> 
> I think it's ready for reposting and then trying to broaden the
> number/type of reviews we get. I'll wait for a few "ship it" comments
> before posting, to give folk a chance to reread the entire document.
> 
> The only change relative to the version posted last week is the
> addition of the following sentence after point B.:
> 
> >    2.  Reduces the growth rate of the DFZ control plane load.  In the
> >        current architecture, this is dominated by the routing, which is
> >        dependent on:
> > 
> >        A.  The number of individual prefixes in the DFZ
> > 
> >        B.  The update rate associated with those prefixes.
> > 
> >        Any change to the control plane architecture must result in a
> >        reduction in the overall control plane load, and shouldn't simply
> >        shift the load from one place in the system to another, without
> >        reducing the overall load as a whole.
> 
> Jason, you suggested slightly different text for this, and my previous
> version (posted to the list) didn't have a sentence here at all. The
> above is what I found in the current version. I'm not sure exactly
> when I added that (i.e., before or after your suggested text). Let me
> know if this still does not capture your point sufficiently. Your text
> was:
> 
>        Future architectures may decide to relocate these functions in
>        various protocols.  The control plane load will have to consider
>        the sum of these protocols across all of the locations where the
>        state is carried or updates are performed.
> 
> Thomas
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Network Working Group                                          T. Narten
> Internet-Draft                                                       IBM
> Intended status: Informational                        September 25, 2007
> Expires: March 28, 2008
> 
> 
>                 Routing and Addressing Problem Statement
>               draft-narten-radir-problem-statement-01.txt
> 
> Status of this Memo
> 
>    By submitting this Internet-Draft, each author represents that any
>    applicable patent or other IPR claims of which he or she is aware
>    have been or will be disclosed, and any of which he or she becomes
>    aware will be disclosed, in accordance with Section 6 of BCP 79.
> 
>    Internet-Drafts are working documents of the Internet Engineering
>    Task Force (IETF), its areas, and its working groups.  Note that
>    other groups may also distribute working documents as Internet-
>    Drafts.
> 
>    Internet-Drafts are draft documents valid for a maximum of six months
>    and may be updated, replaced, or obsoleted by other documents at any
>    time.  It is inappropriate to use Internet-Drafts as reference
>    material or to cite them other than as "work in progress."
> 
>    The list of current Internet-Drafts can be accessed at
>    http://www.ietf.org/ietf/1id-abstracts.txt.
> 
>    The list of Internet-Draft Shadow Directories can be accessed at
>    http://www.ietf.org/shadow.html.
> 
>    This Internet-Draft will expire on March 28, 2008.
> 
> Copyright Notice
> 
>    Copyright (C) The IETF Trust (2007).
> 
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> Abstract
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>    Problem statement for the route scaling problem.
> 
>    Comments should be sent to ram@iab.org or to radir@ietf.org.
> 
> 
> Table of Contents
> 
>    1.  Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3
>    2.  Terms and Definitions  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  4
>    3.  Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6
>      3.1.  Technical Aspects  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6
>      3.2.  Business Aspects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7
>      3.3.  Alignment of Incentives  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  8
>      3.4.  Table Growth Targets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  8
>    4.  Pressures on Routing Table Size  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
>      4.1.  Traffic Engineering  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
>      4.2.  Multihoming  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
>      4.3.  End Site Renumbering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
>      4.4.  Acquisitions and Mergers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
>      4.5.  RIR Address Allocation Policies  . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
>      4.6.  Dual Stack Pressure on the Routing Table . . . . . . . . . 13
>      4.7.  Internal Customer Routes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
>      4.8.  IPv4 Address Exhaustion  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
>    5.  Pressures on Control Plane Load  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
>      5.1.  Interconnection Richness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
>      5.2.  Multihoming  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
>      5.3.  Traffic Engineering  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
>      5.4.  Questionable Operational Practices?  . . . . . . . . . . . 16
>        5.4.1.  Rapid shuffling of prefixes  . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
>        5.4.2.  Anti-Route Hijacking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
>        5.4.3.  Operational Ignorance  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
>      5.5.  RIR Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
>    6.  Summary  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
>    7.  Security Considerations  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
>    8.  Acknowledgments  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
>    9.  Informative References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
>    Author's Address . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
>    Intellectual Property and Copyright Statements . . . . . . . . . . 24
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> 1.  Introduction
> 
>    Prompted in part by the recent IAB workshop on Routing & Addressing
>    [RAWS-REPORT], there has been a renewed focus on the problem of
>    routing scalability within the Internet.  The issue itself is not
>    new, with discussions dating back at least 10-15 years [GSE,
>    ROAD,...].
> 
>    This document attempts to define the "problem", with the aim of
>    describing the essential aspects so that the community has a way of
>    evaluating whether proposed solutions actually address or impact the
>    underlying problem or "pain points" in a significant manner.
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> 2.  Terms and Definitions
> 
>    Control Plane:  The routing setup protocols and their associated
>       state that are needed to create and maintain the data structures
>       used to forward packets from one network to another.  The term is
>       defined broadly to include all protocols needed to construct and
>       maintain the forwarding tables used to forward packets.
> 
>    Control Plane Load:  The actual load associated with operating the
>       Control Plane.  The higher the control plane load, the higher the
>       cost of operating the control plane (in terms of hardware and
>       bandwidth).
> 
>    Control Plane Cost:  The overall cost associated with operating the
>       Control Plane.  The cost consists of capital costs (for hardware),
>       bandwidth costs (for the control plane signalling) and any other
>       operational cost associated with operating and maintaining the
>       control plane.  In the present Internet, the primary current cost
>       concern is on the capital hardware.
> 
>    Default Free Zone (DFZ):  That part of the Internet where routers
>       maintain full routing tables.  Many routers maintain only partial
>       routes, having explicit routes for "local" destinations (i.e.,
>       prefixes) plus a "default" for everything else.  For such routers,
>       building and maintaining routing tables is relatively simple
>       because the amount of information learned and maintained can be
>       small.  In contrast, routers in the DFZ maintain complete
>       information about all reachable destinations, which currently
>       number in the hundreds of thousands of entries.
> 
>    Routing Information Base (RIB):  The data structures a router
>       maintains that hold the information about destinations and paths
>       to those destinations.  The amount of state information maintained
>       is dependent on a number of factors, including the number of
>       individual prefixes, the number of BGP peers, the number of
>       distinct paths, etc.  The RIB may also include information about
>       unused ("backup") paths for a given prefix as well as the active
>       path(s) used for forwarding.
> 
>    Forwarding Information Base (FIB):  The actual table used while
>       making forwarding decisions for individual packets.  The FIB is a
>       compact, optimized subset of the RIB, containing only the
>       information needed to actually forward individual packets, i.e.,
>       mapping a packet's destination address to an outgoing interface
>       and next-hop.  The FIB only stores information about paths
>       actually used for forwarding; it typically does not store
>       information about backup paths.  The FIB is typically constructed
>       from specialized hardware components, which have different (and
> 
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>       higher) cost properties than the hardware typically used to
>       maintain the RIB.
> 
>    Traffic Engineering (TE):  In this document, "traffic engineering"
>       refers to the current practice of inbound, inter-AS traffic
>       engineering.  TE is accomplished by placing more specific routes
>       in the FIB and/ or increasing the frequency of routing updates in
>       order to control inbound traffic at the boundary of an Autonomous
>       system (AS).
> 
>    Provider Aggregatable (PA) address space:  Address space that an end
>       site obtains from an ISP's address block.  The main benefit of PA
>       address space is that reachability to all of a provider's
>       customers can be achieved by advertising a single "provider
>       aggregate" address prefix into the DFZ, rather than needing to
>       announce individual prefixes for each customer.  An important
>       disadvantage is a requirement that the customer return those
>       addresses (and renumber) when changing providers.
> 
>    Provider Independent (PI) address space:  Address space that an end
>       site obtains directly from a Regional Internet Registry (RIR) for
>       addressing its devices.  The main advantage (for the end site) is
>       that it does not have to return those addresses (and renumber its
>       site) upon changing providers.  However, PI address blocks are not
>       aggregatable and thus each individual PI assignment results in an
>       individual prefix being injected into the DFZ.
> 
>    Site:  Any topologically and administratively distinct entity that
>       connects to the Internet.  A site can range from a large
>       enterprise or ISP to a small home site.
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> 3.  Background
> 
>    Within the DFZ, both the size of the RIB and FIB and the overall
>    update rate have historically increased at a greater than linear
>    rate.  Specifically:
> 
>    o  The number of individual prefixes that are propagated into the DFZ
>       has and continues to increase at a super-linear rate.  The reasons
>       behind this increase are varied and discussed below.  Because each
>       individual prefix requires resources to process, any increase in
>       the number of prefixes results in a corresponding increase in
>       resources needed.  Each individual prefix that appears in routing
>       updates requires state in the RIB (and possibly the FIB) and
>       consumes processing resources when updates related to the prefix
>       are received.
> 
>    o  The overall rate of routing updates is increasing, requiring
>       routers to process updates at an increased rate or converge more
>       slowly if they cannot.  The rate increase is driven by a number of
>       factors (discussed below).  It should be noted that the overall
>       routing update rate is dependent on two factors: the number of
>       individual prefixes and the mean per-prefix update rate.  While it
>       is clear that the overall number of prefixes is increasing super-
>       linearly, further study is needed to determine whether the mean
>       per-prefix update rate is increasing as well [1].
> 
>    This super linear growth presents a scalability challenge for current
>    and/or future routers.  There are two aspects to the challenge.  The
>    first one is purely technical: can we build routers (i.e., hardware &
>    software) actually capable handling the control plane load, both
>    today and going forward?  The second challenge is one of economics:
>    is the cost of developing, building and deploying such routers
>    economically sustainable, given current and realistic business models
>    that govern how ISPs operate as businesses?
> 
>    Finally, the scalability challenge is aggravated by the lack of any
>    limiting architectural upper-bound on the growth rate and a weakening
>    of traditional social constraints on the growth rate that have helped
>    restrain growth so far.  Going forward, there is considerable
>    uncertainty whether future growth rates will continue to be
>    sufficiently constrained so that router development can keep up.
> 
> 3.1.  Technical Aspects
> 
>    The technical challenge of building routers relates to the resources
>    needed to process a larger and increasingly dynamic amount of routing
>    information.  More specifically, routers must maintain an increasing
>    amount of associated state information in the RIB, they must be
> 
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>    capable of populating a growing FIB, they must perform forwarding
>    lookups at line rates (while accessing the FIB) and they must be able
>    to initialize the RIB and FIB at boot time.  Moreover, this activity
>    must take place within acceptable time frames (i.e., paths for
>    individual destinations must converge and stabilize within an
>    acceptable time period).  Finally, the hardware needed to achieve
>    this cannot have unreasonable power consumption or cooling demands.
> 
> 3.2.  Business Aspects
> 
>    Even if it is technically possible to build routers capable of
>    meeting the technical and operational requirements, it is also
>    necessary that the overall cost to build, maintain and deploy such
>    equipment meet reasonable business expectations.  ISPs, after all,
>    are run as businesses.  As such, they must be able to plan, develop
>    and construct viable business plans that provide an acceptable return
>    on investment (i.e., one acceptable to investors).
> 
>    While the IETF does not (and cannot) concern itself with business
>    models or the profitability of the ISP community, the cost of running
>    the routing subsystem as a whole is directly influenced by the
>    routing architecture of the Internet, which clearly is the IETF's
>    business.  Further, because cost implications are part of each and
>    every engineering decision, controlling or limiting the overall cost
>    of running the routing subsystem (through architectural decisions) is
>    part of the IETF's fundamental charter.  Consequently, having the
>    IETF continue with an architectural model that places unbounded cost
>    requirements on critical infrastructure represents an undue risk to
>    the future of the Internet as a whole.
> 
>    One aspect of planning concerns the assumptions made about the
>    expected usable lifetime of purchased equipment.  Businesses
>    typically expect that once deployed, equipment can remain in use for
>    some projected amount of time (e.g., 3-5 years).  Upgrading equipment
>    earlier than planned is more easily justified (as an unplanned
>    expense) when a new business opportunity is enabled as a result of an
>    upgrade.  For example, an upgrade might be justified by an ability to
>    support increased traffic or an increase in the number of customer
>    connections, etc., where the upgrade can translate into increased
>    revenue.  In contrast, it is more difficult to justify unplanned
>    upgrades in the absence of corresponding customer benefit (and
>    revenue) to cover the upgrade cost.  It is generally desired that
>    deployed equipment remain usable over its planned lifetime.  An
>    increase in the resources required to support larger or more dynamic
>    routing tables is viewed as a sort of "unfunded mandate", in that
>    customers do not expect to have to pay more just to continue
>    retaining the same level of service as before, i.e., having all
>    destinations be reachable as was the case in the past.  This
> 
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>    undermining of planning is particularly problematic when the increase
>    in routing demand originates external to the ISP, and the ISP has no
>    way to control or limit it (e.g., the increased demand comes from
>    being part of the DFZ).
> 
>    From a business perspective, it is desirable to maintain or increase
>    the useful lifespan of routing equipment, by improving the scaling
>    properties of the routing and addressing system.
> 
> 3.3.  Alignment of Incentives
> 
>    Today's growth pattern is influenced by the scaling properties of the
>    current system.  If the system had better scaling properties, we
>    would be able support and enable more widespread usage of certain
>    applications such as multihoming and traffic engineering.  Currently
>    the system does not allow everyone to multihome, as there are some
>    barriers to multihoming due to operational practices that try to
>    strike a balance between the amount of multihoming and preservation
>    of routing slots.  It is desirable that the routing and addressing
>    system exert the least possible back pressure on end user
>    applications and deployment scenarios, to enable the broadest
>    possible use of the Internet.
> 
>    One aspect of the current architecture is a misalignment of cost and
>    benefit.  Injecting individual prefixes into the DFZ creates a small
>    amount of "pain" for those routers that are part of the DFZ.  Each
>    individual prefix has a small cost, but the aggregate sum of all
>    prefixes is significant, and leads to the core problem at hand.
>    Those that inject prefixes into the DFZ do not generally pay the cost
>    associated with the individual prefix -- it is carried by the routers
>    in the DFZ.  But the originator of the prefix receives the benefit.
>    Hence, there is misalignment of incentives between those receiving
>    the benefit and those bearing the cost of providing the benefit.
>    Consequently, incentives are not aligned properly to produce a
>    natural balance between the cost and benefit of maintaining routing
>    tables.
> 
> 3.4.  Table Growth Targets
> 
>    A precise target for the rate of table size or routing update
>    increase that should reasonably be supported going forward is
>    difficult to state in quantitative terms.  One target might simply be
>    to keep the growth at a stable, but manageable growth rate so that
>    the increased router functionality can roughly be covered by
>    improvements in technology (e.g., increased processor speeds,
>    reductions in component costs, etc.).
> 
>    However, it is highly desirable to significantly bring down (or even
> 
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>    reverse) the growth rate in order to meet user expectations for
>    specific services.  As discussed below, there are numerous pressures
>    to deaggregate routes.  These pressures come from users seeking
>    specific, tangible service improvements that provide "business-
>    critical" value.  Today, some of those services simply cannot be
>    supported to the degree that future demand can reasonably be expected
>    because of the negative implications on DFZ table growth.  Hence,
>    valuable services are available to some, but not all potential
>    customers.  As the need for such services becomes increasingly
>    important, it will be difficult to deny such services to large
>    numbers of users, especially when some "lucky" sites are able to use
>    the service and others are not.
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> 4.  Pressures on Routing Table Size
> 
>    There are a number of factors behind the increase in the quantity of
>    prefixes appearing in the DFZ.  From a theoretical perspective, the
>    number of prefixes in the DFZ can be minimized through aggressive
>    aggregation [RFC4632].  In practice, strict adherence to the CIDR
>    principles is difficult.
> 
> 4.1.  Traffic Engineering
> 
>    Traffic engineering (TE) is the act of arranging for certain Internet
>    traffic to use or avoid certain network paths (that is, TE attempts
>    to place traffic where capacity exists, or where some set of
>    parameters of the path is more favorable to the traffic being placed
>    there).
> 
>    Outbound TE is typically accomplished by using internal IGP metrics
>    to choose the shortest exit for two equally good BGP paths.
>    Adjustment of IGP metrics controls how much traffic flows over
>    different internal paths to specific exit points for two equally good
>    BGP paths.  Additional traffic can be moved by applying some policy
>    to depreference or filter certain routes from specific BGP peers.
>    Because outbound TE is achieved via a site's own IGP, outbound TE
>    does not impact routing outside of a site.
> 
>    Inbound TE is performed by announcing a more specific route along the
>    preferred path that "catches" the desired traffic and channels it
>    away from the path it would take otherwise (i.e., via a larger
>    aggregate).  At the BGP level, if the address range requiring TE is a
>    portion of a larger address aggregate, network operators implementing
>    TE are forced to de-aggregate otherwise aggregatable prefixes in
>    order to steer the traffic of the particular address range to
>    specific paths.
> 
>    TE is performed by both ISPs and customer networks, for three primary
>    reasons:
> 
>    o  First, to match traffic with network capacity, or to spread the
>       traffic load across multiple links (frequently referred to as
>       "load balancing").
> 
>    o  Second, to reduce costs by shifting traffic to lower cost paths or
>       by balancing the incoming and outgoing traffic volume to maintain
>       appropriate peering relations.
> 
>    o  Finally, TE is sometimes deployed to enforce certain forms of
>       policy (e.g., government traffic may not be permitted to transit
>       through other countries).
> 
> 
> 
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> 
>    TE impacts route scaling in two ways.  First, inbound TE can result
>    in additional prefixes being advertised into the DFZ.  Second,
>    Network operators usually achieve traffic engineering by "tweaking"
>    the processing of routing protocols to achieve desired results, e.g.,
>    by sending updates at an increased rate.  In addition, some devices
>    attempt to automatically find better paths and then advertise those
>    preferences through BGP, though the extent to which such tools are in
>    use and contributing to the control plane load is unknown.
> 
>    In today's highly competitive environment, providers require TE to
>    maintain good performance and low cost in their networks.
> 
> 4.2.  Multihoming
> 
>    Multihoming refers generically to the case in which a site is served
>    by more than one ISP [RFC4116].  Multihoming is used to provide
>    backup paths (i.e., to remove single points of failure), to achieve
>    load-sharing, and to achieve policy or performance objectives (e.g.,
>    to use lower latency or higher bandwidth paths).  Multihoming may
>    also be a requirement due to contract or law.
> 
>    Multihoming can be accomplished using either PI or PA address space.
>    A multihomed site advertises its site prefix into the routing system
>    of each of its providers.  For PI space, the site's PI space is used,
>    and the prefix is propagated throughout the DFZ.  For PA space, the
>    PA site prefix may (or may not) be propagated throughout the DFZ,
>    with the details depending on what type of multihoming is sought.
> 
>    If the site uses PA space, the PA site prefix allocated from one of
>    its provider's (whom we'll call the Primary Provider) is used.  The
>    PA site prefix will be aggregatable by the Primary Provider but not
>    the others.  To achieve the same level of multihoming as described in
>    the case with PI addresses above, the PA site prefix will need to be
>    injected into the routing system of all of its ISPs, and throughout
>    the DFZ.  In addition, because of the longest-match forwarding rule,
>    the Primary Provider must also advertise and propagate the individual
>    PA site prefix; otherwise, the path via the primary provider (as
>    advertised via the aggregate) will never be selected due to the
>    longest match rule.  For the type of multihoming described here,
>    where the PA site prefix is propagated throughout the DFZ, the use of
>    PI vs. PA space has no impact on the control plane load.  The
>    increased load is due entirely to the need to propagate the site's
>    individual prefix into the DFZ.
> 
>    The demand for multihoming is increasing [2].  The increase in
>    multihoming demand is due to the increased reliance on the Internet
>    for mission and business-critical applications (where businesses
>    require 7x24 availability for their services) and the general
> 
> 
> 
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> 
>    decrease in cost of Internet connectivity.
> 
> 4.3.  End Site Renumbering
> 
>    It is generally considered painful and costly to renumber a site,
>    with the cost proportional to the size and complexity of the network
>    and most importantly, to the degree that addresses are stored in
>    places that are difficult in practice to update.  When using PA
>    space, a site must renumber when changing providers.  Larger sites
>    object to this cost and view the requirement to renumber akin to
>    being held "hostage" to the provider from which PA space was
>    obtained.  Consequently, many sites desire PI space.  Having PI space
>    provides independence from any one provider and makes it easier to
>    switch providers (for whatever reason).  However, each individual PI
>    prefix must be propagated throughout the DFZ and adds to the control
>    plane load.
> 
>    It should be noted that while larger sites may also want to
>    multihome, the cost of renumbering drives some sites to seek PI
>    space, even though they do not multihome.
> 
> 4.4.  Acquisitions and Mergers
> 
>    Acquisitions and mergers take place for business reasons, which
>    usually have little to do with the network topologies of the impacted
>    organizations.  When a business sells off part of itself, the assets
>    may include networks, attached devices, etc.  A company that
>    purchases or merges with other organizations may quickly find that
>    its network assets are numbered out of many different and
>    unaggragatable address blocks.  Consequently, an individual
>    organization may find itself unable to announce a single prefix for
>    all of their networks without renumbering a significant portion of
>    its network.
> 
>    Likewise, selling off part of a business may involve selling part of
>    a network as well, resulting in the fragmentation of one address
>    block into two (or more) smaller blocks.  Because the resultant
>    blocks belong to different companies, they can no longer be
>    advertised by a single aggregate and the resultant fragments may need
>    to be advertised individually into the DFZ.
> 
> 4.5.  RIR Address Allocation Policies
> 
>    ISPs and multihoming end sites obtain address space from RIRs.  As an
>    entity grows, it needs additional address space and requests more
>    from its RIR.  In order to be able to obtain additional address space
>    that can be aggregated with the previously-allocated address space,
>    the RIR must keep a reserve of space that the requester can grow into
> 
> 
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> 
>    in the future.  But any reserved address space cannot be used for any
>    other purpose.  Hence, there is an inherent conflict between holding
>    address space in reserve to allow for the future growth of an
>    existing allocation and using address space efficiently.  In IPv4,
>    there has been a heavy emphasis on conserving address space and
>    obtaining efficient utilization.  Consequently, insufficient space
>    has been held in reserve to allow for the growth of all sites and
>    some allocations have had to me made from discontiguous address
>    blocks.  For IPv6, a greater emphasis has been placed on aggregation.
> 
> 4.6.  Dual Stack Pressure on the Routing Table
> 
>    The recommended IPv6 deployment model is dual-stack, where IPv4 and
>    IPv6 are run in parallel across the same links.  This has two
>    implications for routing.  First, although alternative scenarios are
>    possible, it seems likely that many routers will be supporting both
>    IPv4 and IPv6 simultaneously and will thus be managing both IPv4 and
>    IPv6 routing tables within a single router.  Second, for sites
>    connected via both IPv4 and IPv6, both IPv4 and IPv6 prefixes will
>    need to be propagated into the routing system.  Consequently, dual-
>    stack routers will maintain both an IPv4 and IPv6 route to reach the
>    same destination.
> 
>    It is possible to make some simple estimates on the approximate size
>    of the IPv6 tables that would be needed if all sites reachable via
>    IPv4 today were also reachable via IPv6.  In theory, each autonomous
>    system (AS) needs only a single aggregate route.  This provides a
>    lower bound on the size of the fully-realized IPv6 routing table.
>    (As of July 2007, [CIDR4] states there are 25,836 active ASes in the
>    routing system.)
> 
>    A single IPv6 aggregate will not allow for inbound traffic
>    engineering.  End sites will need to advertise a number of smaller
>    prefixes into the DFZ if they desire to gain finer grained control
>    over their IPv6 inbound traffic.  This will increase the size of the
>    IPv6 routing table beyond the lower bound discussed above.  There is
>    reason to expect the IPv6 routing table will be smaller than the
>    current IPv4 table, however, because the larger initial assignments
>    to end sites will minimize the de-aggregation that occurs when a site
>    must go back to its upstream address provider or RIR and receive a
>    second, non-contiguous assignment.
> 
>    It is possible to extrapolate what the size of the IPv6 Internet
>    routing table would be if widespread IPv6 adoption occurred, from the
>    current IPv4 Internet routing table.  Each active AS (25,836) would
>    require at least one aggregate.  In addition, the IPv6 Internet table
>    would also carry more specific prefixes for traffic engineering.
>    Assume that the IPv6 Internet table will carry the same number of
> 
> 
> 
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>    more specifics as the IPv4 Internet table.  In this case one can take
>    the number of IPv4 Internet routes and subtract the number of CIDR
>    aggregates that they could easily be aggregated down to.  As of July
>    2007, the 229,789 routes can be easily aggregated down to 150,018
>    CIDR aggregates [CIDR4].  That difference yields 79,771 extra more
>    specific prefixes.  Thus if each active AS (25,836) required one
>    aggregate, and an additional 79,771 more specifics were required,
>    then the IPv6 Internet table would be 105,607 prefixes.
> 
> 4.7.  Internal Customer Routes
> 
>    In addition to the Internet routing table, networks must also carry
>    their internal routing table.  Internal routes are defined as more
>    specific routes that are not advertised to the DFZ.  This primarily
>    consists of prefixes that are a more specific of a provider aggregate
>    (PA) and are assigned to a single homed customer.  The DFZ need only
>    carry the PA aggregate in order to deliver traffic to the provider.
>    However, the provider's routers require the more specific route to
>    deliver traffic to the end site.
> 
>    This could also consist of more specific prefixes advertised by
>    multi-homed customers with the no-export community.  This is useful
>    when the fine grained control of traffic to be influenced can be
>    contained to the neighboring network.
> 
>    For a large ISP, the internal IPv4 table can be between 50,000 and
>    150,000 routes.  During the dot com boom some ISPs had more internal
>    prefixes than there were in the Internet table.  Thus the size of the
>    internal routing table can have significant impact on the scalability
>    and should not be discounted.
> 
> 4.8.  IPv4 Address Exhaustion
> 
>    The IANA and RIR free pool of IPv4 addresses will be exhausted within
>    a few years.  As the free pool shrinks, the size of the remaining
>    unused blocks will also shrink and unused blocks previously held in
>    reserve for expansion of existing allocations or otherwise not used
>    due to their smaller size will be allocated for use.  Consequently,
>    as the community looks to use use every piece of available address
>    space (no matter how small) there will be an increasing pressure to
>    advertise additional prefixes in the DFZ.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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> 5.  Pressures on Control Plane Load
> 
>    This section describes a number of trends and pressures that are
>    contributing to the overall load of computing Internet paths.  The
>    previous section described pressures that are increasing the size of
>    the routing table.  Even if the size could be bounded, the amount of
>    work needed to maintain paths for a given set of prefixes appears to
>    be increasing.
> 
> 5.1.  Interconnection Richness
> 
>    The degree of interconnectedness between ASes has increased in recent
>    years.  That is, the Internet as whole is becoming "flatter" with an
>    increasing number of possible paths interconnecting sites [3].  As
>    the number of possible paths increase, the amount of computation
>    needed to find a best path also increases.  This computation comes
>    into effect whenever a change in path characteristics occurs, whether
>    from a new path becoming available, an existing path failing, or a
>    change in the attributes associated with a potential path.  Thus,
>    even if the total number of prefixes were to stay constant, an
>    increase in the interconnection richness implies an increase in the
>    resources needed to maintain routing tables.
> 
> 5.2.  Multihoming
> 
>    Multihoming places pressure on the routing system in two ways.
>    First, an individual prefix for a multihomed site (whether PI or PA)
>    must be propagated into the routing system, so that other sites can
>    find a good path to the site.  Even if the site's prefix comes out of
>    a PA block, an individual prefix for the site needs to be advertised
>    so that the most desirable path to the site can be chosen when the
>    path through the aggregate is sub-optimal.  Second, a multi-homed
>    site will be connected to the Internet in more than one place,
>    increasing the overall level of interconnection richness.  If an
>    outage occurs on any of the circuits connecting the site to the
>    Internet, those changes will be propagated into the routing system.
>    In contrast, a singly-homed site numbered out of a Provider Aggregate
>    places no additional control plane load in the DFZ as the details of
>    the connectivity status to the site are kept internal to the provider
>    to which it connects.
> 
> 5.3.  Traffic Engineering
> 
>    The mechanisms used to achieve multihoming and inbound Traffic
>    Engineering are the same.  In both cases, a specific prefix is
>    advertised into the routing system to "catch" traffic and route it
>    over a different path than it would otherwise be carried.  When
>    multihoming, the specific prefix is one that differs from that of its
> 
> 
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>    ISP or is a more-specific of the ISP's PA.  Traffic Engineering is
>    achieved by taking one prefix and dividing into a number of smaller
>    and more-specific ones, and advertising them in order to gain finer-
>    grained control over the paths used to carry traffic covered by those
>    prefixes.
> 
>    Traffic Engineering increases the number of prefixes carried in the
>    routing system.  In addition, when a circuit fails (or the routing
>    attributes associated with the circuit change), additional load is
>    placed on the routing system by having multiple prefixes potentially
>    impacted by the change, as opposed to just one.
> 
> 5.4.  Questionable Operational Practices?
> 
>    Some operators are believed to engage in operational practices that
>    increase the load on the routing system.
> 
> 5.4.1.  Rapid shuffling of prefixes
> 
>    Some networks try to assert fine-grained control of inbound traffic
>    by modifying route announcements frequently in order to migrate
>    traffic to less loaded links quickly.  The goal of this is to achieve
>    higher utilization of multiple links.  In addition, some route
>    selection devices actively measure link or path utilization and
>    attempt to optimize inbound traffic by withholding or depreferencing
>    certain prefixes in their advertisements.  In short, any system that
>    actively measures load and modifies route advertisements in real time
>    increases the load on the routing system, as any change in what is
>    advertised must ripple through the entire routing system.
> 
> 5.4.2.  Anti-Route Hijacking
> 
>    In order to reduce the threat of accidental (or intentional)
>    hijacking of its address space by an unauthorized third party, some
>    sites advertise their space as a set of smaller prefixes rather than
>    as one aggregate.  That way, if someone else advertised a path for
>    the larger aggregate (or a small piece of the aggregate), it will be
>    ignored in favor of the more specific announcements.  This increases
>    both the number of prefixes advertised, and the number of updates.
> 
> 5.4.3.  Operational Ignorance
> 
>    It is believed that some undesirable practices result from operator
>    ignorance, where the operator is unaware of what they are doing and
>    the impact that has on the DFZ.
> 
>    The default behavior of most BGP configurations is to automatically
>    propagate all learned routes.  That is, one must take explicit
> 
> 
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>    configuration steps to prevent the automatic propagation of learned
>    routes.  In addition, it is often significant work to figure out how
>    to (safely) aggregate routes (and which ones to aggregate) in order
>    to reduce the number of advertisements propagated elsewhere.  While
>    vendors could provide additional configuration "knobs" to reduce
>    leakage, the implementation of additional features increases
>    complexity and some operators may fear that the new configuration
>    will break their existing routing setup.  Finally, leaking routes
>    unnecessarily does not generally harm those with the
>    misconfiguration, hence, there is less motivation to address the
>    problem.
> 
> 5.5.  RIR Policy
> 
>    RIR address policy has direct impact on the control plane load
>    because address policy determines who is eligible for a PI assignment
>    (which impacts how many are given out in practice) and the size of
>    the assignment (which impacts how much address space can be
>    aggregated within a single assignment).  If PI assignments for end
>    sites did not exist, then those end sites would not advertise their
>    own prefix directly into the global routing system; instead their
>    address block would be covered by their provider's aggregate.  That
>    said, RIRs have adopted PI policies in response to community demand,
>    for reasons described elsewhere (e.g., to support multihoming and to
>    avoid the need to renumber).  In short, RIR policy can be seen as a
>    symptom rather than a root cause.
> 
> 
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> 6.  Summary
> 
>    As discussed in previous sections, in the current operating
>    environment, it appears to be becoming increasingly difficult for
>    ISPs to recover control plane related costs associated with the
>    growth of the Internet.  Moreover, real business and user needs are
>    creating increasing pressure to use techniques that increase the
>    control plane load for ISPs operating within the DFZ.  While the
>    system largely works today, there is a real risk that the current
>    cost and incentive structures will be unable to keep control plane
>    costs manageable (within the context of then-available routing
>    hardware) over the next decades.  The Internet needs a routing and
>    addressing model designed with this in mind.  Thus, in the absence of
>    a business model that better supports such cost recovery, there is a
>    need for an approach to routing and addressing that fulfils the
>    following criteria:
> 
>    1.  Provides sufficient benefits to the party bearing the costs of
>        deploying and maintaining the technology to recover the cost for
>        doing so.
> 
>    2.  Reduces the growth rate of the DFZ control plane load.  In the
>        current architecture, this is dominated by the routing, which is
>        dependent on:
> 
>        A.  The number of individual prefixes in the DFZ
> 
>        B.  The update rate associated with those prefixes.
> 
>        Any change to the control plane architecture must result in a
>        reduction in the overall control plane load, and shouldn't simply
>        shift the load from one place in the system to another, without
>        reducing the overall load as a whole.
> 
>    3.  Allows any end site wishing to multihome to do so
> 
>    4.  Supports ISP and enterprise TE needs
> 
>    5.  Allows end sites to switch providers while minimizing
>        configuration changes to internal end site devices.
> 
>    6.  Provides meaningful benefits to the parties who bear the costs of
>        deploying and maintaining the technology.
> 
>    The problem statement in this document has purposefully been scoped
>    to focus on the growth of the routing update function of the DFZ.
>    Other problems that may seem related, but do not directly impact the
>    route scaling problem are not considered to be "in scope" at this
> 
> 
> 
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> 
>    time.  For example, Mobile IP [[RFC2002], RFC3775] and NEMO
>    [[RFC3963]] place no pressures on the routing system.  They are
>    layered on top of existing IP, using tunneling to forward packets via
>    a care-of addresses.  Hence, "improving" these technologies (e.g., by
>    having them leverage a solution to the multihoming problem), while a
>    laudable goal, is not considered a part of this problem statement.
> 
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> 7.  Security Considerations
> 
>    TBD
> 
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> 8.  Acknowledgments
> 
>    The initial version of this document was produced by the Routing and
>    Addressing Directorate (http://www.ietf.org/IESG/content/radir.html).
>    The membership of the directorate at that time included Marla
>    Azinger, Vince Fuller, Vijay Gill, Thomas Narten, Erik Nordmark,
>    Jason Schiller, Peter Schoenmaker, and John Scudder.
> 
>    Comments should be sent to ram@iab.org or to radir@ietf.org.
> 
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> 9.  Informative References
> 
>    [RFC2002]  Perkins, C., "IP Mobility Support", RFC 2002,
>               October 1996.
> 
>    [RFC3963]  Devarapalli, V., Wakikawa, R., Petrescu, A., and P.
>               Thubert, "Network Mobility (NEMO) Basic Support Protocol",
>               RFC 3963, January 2005.
> 
>    [RFC4632]  Fuller, V. and T. Li, "Classless Inter-domain Routing
>               (CIDR): The Internet Address Assignment and Aggregation
>               Plan", BCP 122, RFC 4632, August 2006.
> 
>    [1]  <http://www3.ietf.org/proceedings/06mar/slides/grow-3.pdf>
> 
>    [2]  <http://www.cidr-report.org/as2.0/, http://www.cidr-report.org/
>         cgi-bin/
>         plota?file=%2fvar%2fdata%2fbgp%2fas2.0%2fbgp%2das%2dcount%2etxt&
>         descr=Unique%20ASes&ylabel=Unique%20ASes&with=step,http://
>         www.potaroo.net/tools/asn32/>
> 
>    [3]  <http://www.potaroo.net/bgprpts/bgp-average-aspath-length.png>
> 
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> Author's Address
> 
>    Thomas Narten
>    IBM
> 
>    Email: narten@us.ibm.com
> 
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> Full Copyright Statement
> 
>    Copyright (C) The IETF Trust (2007).
> 
>    This document is subject to the rights, licenses and restrictions
>    contained in BCP 78, and except as set forth therein, the authors
>    retain all their rights.
> 
>    This document and the information contained herein are provided on an
>    "AS IS" basis and THE CONTRIBUTOR, THE ORGANIZATION HE/SHE REPRESENTS
>    OR IS SPONSORED BY (IF ANY), THE INTERNET SOCIETY, THE IETF TRUST AND
>    THE INTERNET ENGINEERING TASK FORCE DISCLAIM ALL WARRANTIES, EXPRESS
>    OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO ANY WARRANTY THAT THE USE OF
>    THE INFORMATION HEREIN WILL NOT INFRINGE ANY RIGHTS OR ANY IMPLIED
>    WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.
> 
> 
> Intellectual Property
> 
>    The IETF takes no position regarding the validity or scope of any
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>    pertain to the implementation or use of the technology described in
>    this document or the extent to which any license under such rights
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> 
>    Copies of IPR disclosures made to the IETF Secretariat and any
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> 
>    The IETF invites any interested party to bring to its attention any
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> 
> 
> Acknowledgment
> 
>    Funding for the RFC Editor function is provided by the IETF
>    Administrative Support Activity (IASA).
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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> 
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