Re: concerns about CLNP

John Curran <jcurran@nic.near.net> Fri, 23 October 1992 16:16 UTC

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To: kasten@ftp.com
Cc: henryc@oar.net, desjardi@boa.gsfc.nasa.gov, jnc@ginger.lcs.mit.edu, tuba@lanl.gov
Subject: Re: concerns about CLNP
In-Reply-To: Your message of Fri, 23 Oct 92 09:52:21 -0400. <9210231352.AA01602@ftp.com>
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1992 12:15:23 -0400
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From: John Curran <jcurran@nic.near.net>

--------
] From: Frank Kastenholz <kasten@ftp.com>
] Subject: Re: concerns about CLNP
] Date: Fri, 23 Oct 92 09:52:21 -0400

] > [From: henry@oar.net]
] > Have there been any copmrehensive analysis done about exactly when we think
] > the IP address space will really be exhausted or routing will collapse upon
] > itself?  I've heard lots of people do numbers off the top of their heads -- 
] > are these numbers in the neighborhood?
]
] This work has been done, at least as far as address space exhaustion
] is concerned. Frank Solensky started tracking and making these predictions
] over two years ago. He periodically updates and publishes the information.
] You can reach him at solensky@andr.ub.com.

Effectively, we are already in address exhaustion, and the consequential
increase in routing entries in the routing tables due to class C usage.
The recently announced rfc1366 and rfc1367 documents specify multiple 
C assignments (up to 16) for organizations that would have previously 
used a class B address.  Recent NACR reports from Merit indicate that
many blocks of C addresses are now announced.

What remains to be seen is how great CIDR's aggregation will be, and how 
much entropy we'll see when organizations change their network providers.

/John