Re: [admin-discuss] IETF LLC 2021 Draft Budget

Hi Barbara

> On 16/12/2020, at 2:24 AM, STARK, BARBARA H <bs7652@att.com> wrote:
> 
>> Air travel costs will return to pre-COVID levels.
> 
> Everything I've been reading suggests that airlines will be increasing prices significantly once air travel starts to increase. 
> It's just a question of when the prices start going up. Also, it would appear that long-haul international travel will see fares go up first.
> If we assume the November meeting is still in Madrid, and most people flown in by IETF are located outside Europe, you may want to assume slightly
> higher travel costs than 2019 levels.
> 
> Here is one article 
> https://www.rd.com/article/airfare-in-2021/
> 
> with quote "I think fares to farther-away destinations that have had permanent service reductions may stay up a bit closer to the higher average prices from 2018 and earlier than the lower 2019 averages we saw". 

The Go/No-Go assessment [1] that we use to determine if a meeting needs to switch online includes a section on airfares.  It’s not that scientific but should capture if there is a large increase all round.

Jay

[1]  https://www.ietf.org/media/documents/IETF_108_Madrid_go_no-go_assessment.pdf

> 
> This would probably only be relevant for Madrid, and wouldn't impact a SF July meeting.
> BTW, I've seen elsewhere that we should expect even more severe airfare increases in 2022 and beyond. But that's outside the scope of this budget.
> Barbara
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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-- 
Jay Daley
IETF Executive Director
jay@ietf.org