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Re: [Mtgvenue] testing draft-ietf-mtgvenue-iaoc-venue-selection-process against the venue change that just occurred

Adam Roach <adam@nostrum.com> Tue, 18 July 2017 10:44 UTC

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To: Mirja Kühlewind <mirja.kuehlewind@tik.ee.ethz.ch>, Eliot Lear <lear@cisco.com>
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From: Adam Roach <adam@nostrum.com>
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Date: Tue, 18 Jul 2017 12:43:52 +0200
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Subject: Re: [Mtgvenue] testing draft-ietf-mtgvenue-iaoc-venue-selection-process against the venue change that just occurred
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On 7/18/17 11:59, Mirja Kühlewind wrote:
> So my understanding is actually that the venue was chanced because of the uncertainty we currently have about the travel restrictions that may occur in future. So I actually think it does not match the bulletpoint on travel restrictions that is cited below.
>
> Also how do we know that 60 people or more will be effected (despite the fact that we are taking about potential further changes that may happen in future but did not happen yet).

My understanding is that this was based on the 15% number that Leslie 
cited in her recent announcement:

> 15% of those living outside the US who responded to the survey said they were so concerned about US travel restrictions that they decided not to attend IETF 98 in Chicago.

Prediction is hard business; however, it's been pointed out to me that 
"tomorrow will be the same as today" is frequently as good a predictor 
for weather as an actual, well-sourced forecast.

/a

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