Re: [TLS] Eleven out of every ten SSL certs aren't valid

Ivan Ristic <ivan.ristic@gmail.com> Tue, 29 June 2010 13:49 UTC

Return-Path: <ivan.ristic@gmail.com>
X-Original-To: tls@core3.amsl.com
Delivered-To: tls@core3.amsl.com
Received: from localhost (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by core3.amsl.com (Postfix) with ESMTP id 2DAFD3A6A33 for <tls@core3.amsl.com>; Tue, 29 Jun 2010 06:49:28 -0700 (PDT)
X-Virus-Scanned: amavisd-new at amsl.com
X-Spam-Flag: NO
X-Spam-Score: -2.599
X-Spam-Level:
X-Spam-Status: No, score=-2.599 tagged_above=-999 required=5 tests=[BAYES_00=-2.599]
Received: from mail.ietf.org ([64.170.98.32]) by localhost (core3.amsl.com [127.0.0.1]) (amavisd-new, port 10024) with ESMTP id 3+b14PJwqYwx for <tls@core3.amsl.com>; Tue, 29 Jun 2010 06:49:27 -0700 (PDT)
Received: from fg-out-1718.google.com (fg-out-1718.google.com [72.14.220.158]) by core3.amsl.com (Postfix) with ESMTP id 9DB3E3A6BF9 for <tls@ietf.org>; Tue, 29 Jun 2010 06:49:26 -0700 (PDT)
Received: by fg-out-1718.google.com with SMTP id 19so491425fgg.13 for <tls@ietf.org>; Tue, 29 Jun 2010 06:49:32 -0700 (PDT)
DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=gmail.com; s=gamma; h=domainkey-signature:mime-version:received:received:in-reply-to :references:date:message-id:subject:from:to:cc:content-type :content-transfer-encoding; bh=B+gyUUn6ag/z7lhpmN1Rr1H3VPxuT5k61ohbVj+A3lQ=; b=cm9TgtBX74BA+d9+HK0JsGRnekbJRCjCsY9LZdR95kFiFDQ2/U3Y6L1HwRVEPq1qAs K8n0wpCzbOMFdd5nfjEh0F0AFCwq9ZBN4eyUa8Xao2ncUvGcaoByyE2YscZ3dSaJlck1 jsIII3NGCEdAW/yEutBlOijyDbc6i+y5GK3kE=
DomainKey-Signature: a=rsa-sha1; c=nofws; d=gmail.com; s=gamma; h=mime-version:in-reply-to:references:date:message-id:subject:from:to :cc:content-type:content-transfer-encoding; b=SkNWiLku6fGga8XqPBDVvzNArMGktovYNPSM1FNzYeUXzEmHR+dJVOnDpbBkjzIOIa TRaZZsIDm50TxrGKipEk4hvoUOR3acPdeU9PnPtBX7NE0fwzjTOoJXdKtyd5gYhT/DqN 3XfsH2fLEoBFwUMV+7hOfdAYyd1kk8OH+CXVQ=
MIME-Version: 1.0
Received: by 10.239.186.11 with SMTP id e11mr392263hbh.20.1277819371817; Tue, 29 Jun 2010 06:49:31 -0700 (PDT)
Received: by 10.239.164.79 with HTTP; Tue, 29 Jun 2010 06:49:31 -0700 (PDT)
In-Reply-To: <AANLkTikY-KgOBMUSmfVTQ4sANQng9m_p61WBogkHBoLi@mail.gmail.com>
References: <E1OTVaY-0004g3-OW@wintermute02.cs.auckland.ac.nz> <AANLkTikY-KgOBMUSmfVTQ4sANQng9m_p61WBogkHBoLi@mail.gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 29 Jun 2010 14:49:31 +0100
Message-ID: <AANLkTikwydMPbRmB8jpQBznla8RDapZZ9xUjNorldo7x@mail.gmail.com>
From: Ivan Ristic <ivan.ristic@gmail.com>
To: Peter Gutmann <pgut001@cs.auckland.ac.nz>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="ISO-8859-1"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Cc: tls@ietf.org
Subject: Re: [TLS] Eleven out of every ten SSL certs aren't valid
X-BeenThere: tls@ietf.org
X-Mailman-Version: 2.1.9
Precedence: list
List-Id: "This is the mailing list for the Transport Layer Security working group of the IETF." <tls.ietf.org>
List-Unsubscribe: <https://www.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/tls>, <mailto:tls-request@ietf.org?subject=unsubscribe>
List-Archive: <http://www.ietf.org/mail-archive/web/tls>
List-Post: <mailto:tls@ietf.org>
List-Help: <mailto:tls-request@ietf.org?subject=help>
List-Subscribe: <https://www.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/tls>, <mailto:tls-request@ietf.org?subject=subscribe>
X-List-Received-Date: Tue, 29 Jun 2010 13:49:28 -0000

I forgot to mention another thing: when I looked at the Alexa's top 1M
sites, 27.86% of all certificates matched the domain name.


On Tue, Jun 29, 2010 at 2:31 PM, Ivan Ristic <ivan.ristic@gmail.com> wrote:
> The numbers in the article come from the preview of my research, which
> I presented in a webcast last Thursday. Here's the summary of the
> presentation:
>
> 1. I started with 119M domain names (out of 193M registered
> worldwide). The 119M include all .com, .org, .net, .info, .biz, and
> .us domain names.
> 2. 92M domains are active on port 80 or port 443
> 3. 33M domains have port 443 open
> 4. 22.65M domain names run SSL on port 443
> 5. On 0.72M domain names certificates match the domain name.
>
> I am now focusing on the 720K certificates that are potentially valid.
>
> Once I find out exactly how many of those certificates are valid, I
> will make two claims:
>
> - X% of web servers properly run SSL (where X will be < 3%)
> - Y% of certificates are valid (where Y will be significantly higher than > 3%)
>
> I should be able to post my presentation online tomorrow, after which
> I will follow-up here.
>
> BTW, my assessment methodology is available on
> https://www.ssllabs.com, along with an online assessment tool (that
> works with a single hostname). There's additional material on the SSL
> Labs mailing list. I will publish the complete report in about a
> month.
>
> I welcome all feedback, as well as deeper involvement if you're
> interested in the topic.
>
> Cheers,
> Ivan
>
> On Tue, Jun 29, 2010 at 8:50 AM, Peter Gutmann
> <pgut001@cs.auckland.ac.nz> wrote:
>> In case someone here still hasn't seen this, the subject is a reference to:
>>
>>  SSL Certificates In Use Today Aren't All Valid
>>  http://www.esecurityplanet.com/features/article.php/3890171/SSL-Certificates-In-Use-Today-Arent-All-Valid.htm
>>
>> which posits that only 3% of SSL certs in use today are valid.  The figures
>> seem a bit suspicious though, for example they claim 23 million SSL sites
>> while the same article quotes Netcraft as claiming there are 1.5 million SSL
>> certs in use (the Netcraft figures may be for CA-issued certs only, since they
>> quote Verisign as a percentage of that total).  Still, 3% seems pretty low,
>> could this be due to something like virtual hosting and the client not sending
>> the hostname, thereby getting the wrong cert?  Even with that though, I
>> wouldn't have expected a 97% invalidity rate.
>>
>> Peter.
>> _______________________________________________
>> TLS mailing list
>> TLS@ietf.org
>> https://www.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/tls
>>
>
> --
> Ivan Ristic
> ModSecurity Handbook [http://www.modsecurityhandbook.com]
> SSL Labs [https://www.ssllabs.com/ssldb/]
>



-- 
Ivan Ristic
ModSecurity Handbook [http://www.modsecurityhandbook.com]
SSL Labs [https://www.ssllabs.com/ssldb/]