Re: [Ntp] Antw: [EXT] Re: NTPv5 draft

Kurt Roeckx <kurt@roeckx.be> Tue, 01 December 2020 15:00 UTC

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Date: Tue, 01 Dec 2020 16:00:26 +0100
From: Kurt Roeckx <kurt@roeckx.be>
To: Ulrich Windl <Ulrich.Windl@rz.uni-regensburg.de>
Cc: mlichvar@redhat.com, Dieter Sibold <dsibold.ietf@gmail.com>, "ntp@ietf.org" <ntp@ietf.org>
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Subject: Re: [Ntp] Antw: [EXT] Re: NTPv5 draft
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On Tue, Dec 01, 2020 at 01:32:44PM +0100, Ulrich Windl wrote:
> >>> Kurt Roeckx <kurt@roeckx.be> schrieb am 01.12.2020 um 11:25 in Nachricht
> <20201201102540.GO971977@roeckx.be>:
> > On Tue, Dec 01, 2020 at 11:03:05AM +0100, Miroslav Lichvar wrote:
> >> On Tue, Dec 01, 2020 at 10:51:22AM +0100, Dieter Sibold wrote:
> >> > Uncertainty and maximum error are different. The uncertainty interval will
> >> > always be smaller or equal to the max. error.
> >> 
> >> Can you describe an example how would the server determine the
> >> uncertainty?
> > 
> > When talking about uncertainty, we talk about confidence interval.
> > We can never be sure what the maximum error is. We typically talk
> > about an expanded uncertainty of 95%, saying that in 95% of the
> > cases the error will be smaller than the uncertainty.
> > 
> > The 95% comes from 2 * sigma, which covers 95.45%. And we'll write
> > that as k=2 in case of a normal distribution. For NTP, in most
> > cases, it will not be a normal distribution, and you'll need a
> > different k factor for the 95%.
> 
> Hi!
> 
> Yes, but which? How to get the right number?

There are various documents that explain it to you. I suggest
reading something like EA-4-02, which has has many examples.


Kurt