Re: [v6ops] reclassify 464XLAT as standard instead of info

Gert Doering <gert@space.net> Fri, 22 September 2017 16:10 UTC

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Date: Fri, 22 Sep 2017 18:10:18 +0200
From: Gert Doering <gert@space.net>
To: Lee Howard <lee@asgard.org>
Cc: Ole Troan <otroan@employees.org>, Gert Doering <gert@space.net>, "v6ops@ietf.org WG" <v6ops@ietf.org>
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Subject: Re: [v6ops] reclassify 464XLAT as standard instead of info
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Hi,

On Fri, Sep 22, 2017 at 10:52:10AM -0400, Lee Howard wrote:
> Following adoption curves:
>  The majority of hits on Google US will be IPv6 in six months.
>  80% of hits on Google US will be IPv6 in two and a half years.
>  90% of hits on Google US will be IPv6 in three and a half years.
>  The majority of hits on Google worldwide will be IPv6 in two years.
>  80% of hits on Google worldwide will be IPv6 in four years.
>  90% of hits on Google worldwide will be IPv6 in five years.
> https://www.vyncke.org/ipv6status/project.php?metric=p&timeforward=2000&tim
> ebackward=2064&country=ww

I like your optimism :-)

But then, I look at mobile operators in Germany - the *incumbent* has 
done their homework and is providing IPv6, but the "new kids on the block"
mobile operators (like, "younger, agile", and all this) are not even having 
*plans* for IPv6 yet...


And this is only eyeball networks.

Right now, there's so much *content* IPv4-only that eyeball networks need
to put up CGN boxes to enable reachability to that content - and if these
boxes are in place anyway, what incentives does content have to enable
IPv6?  Looking at the Alexa Top sites, I see lots of red on Eric's 
page.  Basically, everything that's not Google or happens to sit behind
Cloudflare (for DE)... :-(

Gert Doering
        -- NetMaster
-- 
have you enabled IPv6 on something today...?

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