Re: IETF 107 Vancouver In-Person Meeting Cancelled

Christian <cdel@firsthand.net> Wed, 11 March 2020 12:26 UTC

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Subject: Re: IETF 107 Vancouver In-Person Meeting Cancelled
To: Tim Chown <tjc.ietf@gmail.com>, tom petch <daedulus@btconnect.com>
Cc: "ietf@ietf.org" <ietf@ietf.org>, JORDI PALET MARTINEZ <jordi.palet=40consulintel.es@dmarc.ietf.org>
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From: Christian <cdel@firsthand.net>
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Date: Wed, 11 Mar 2020 12:26:21 +0000
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Hi Tim

I tweeted this study on mutuations last week. (2 March)

https://bedford.io/blog/ncov-cryptic-transmission/

best C

On 11/03/2020 12:02, Tim Chown wrote:
>> On 11 Mar 2020, at 10:52, tom petch <daedulus@btconnect.com> wrote:
>>
>> I see different statistics.  Yes, Italy has a higher death rate than anywhere else, but elsewhere, the overall rate is reported as 1-2% with less for the young and 8% for the older, variously reported as over-65, over-70, or over-80.  I believe that Greece and Spain are still on an upward curve with figures perhaps too small to infer a trend but that in a week or so we will have the figures to see if Italy is the exception or the rule.
> And therein is the problem, it will mutate.  That’s what made the so-called Spanish flu so deadly, to people of all ages.  Has it mutated, or are the counts of infected lower for some reason?  Hard to know, but I’ll take a little inconvenience now to avoid 100M deaths in the year ahead.
>
> Tim
>